Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001076 0.001224 0.001373 0.001535 0.001705 0.001877 0.002065
2025-06-08 0.000846 0.001057 0.001278 0.001524 0.001790 0.002065 0.002371
2025-06-15 0.000717 0.000978 0.001261 0.001586 0.001942 0.002317 0.002740
2025-06-22 0.000555 0.000846 0.001173 0.001558 0.001990 0.002453 0.002981
2025-06-29 0.000446 0.000761 0.001128 0.001571 0.002078 0.002628 0.003261
2025-07-06 0.000404 0.000750 0.001166 0.001675 0.002264 0.002909 0.003657
2025-07-13 0.000306 0.000657 0.001097 0.001651 0.002301 0.003021 0.003862
2025-07-20 0.000211 0.000552 0.001006 0.001593 0.002294 0.003079 0.004005
2025-07-27 0.000170 0.000519 0.001000 0.001634 0.002400 0.003264 0.004287
2025-08-03 0.000118 0.000458 0.000953 0.001621 0.002439 0.003369 0.004478
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000365 0.000854 0.001537 0.002390 0.003371 0.004549
2025-08-17 0.000029 0.000310 0.000803 0.001511 0.002407 0.003446 0.004701
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000227 0.000713 0.001447 0.002398 0.003517 0.004879
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000173 0.000660 0.001431 0.002449 0.003659 0.005143
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000153 0.000660 0.001487 0.002591 0.003911 0.005537
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000106 0.000603 0.001458 0.002624 0.004032 0.005777
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000078 0.000575 0.001469 0.002707 0.004214 0.006088
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000078 0.000607 0.001570 0.002906 0.004534 0.006562
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000048 0.000559 0.001545 0.002939 0.004653 0.006799
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000020 0.000493 0.001488 0.002927 0.004714 0.006965
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000013 0.000489 0.001528 0.003043 0.004932 0.007316
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000003 0.000455 0.001515 0.003086 0.005058 0.007557
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000383 0.001434 0.003033 0.005064 0.007653